SINTESI DI MARIA
COZZOLINO, FERNANDO DI NICOLA, MICHELE RAITANO
WP N. 64
PENSION FUNDS’S PERSPECTIVE AND TFR:
OPPORTUNITIES AND OPTIONS
ABSTRACT
The use of TFR (a sort of
severance payment) to fund the complementary pension scheme, except
when the worker explicitly says not to, has been established by the
legislative measures reforming the Italian pension system (law n. 243 approved in
summer 2004 and decree n. 252 approved in December 2005). The
Italian workers will have choice to invest more saving in pension funds or to
maintain the TFR into their firms.
In this paper the choices
of workers are analyzed. The results of an ISAE survey, conducted in two
phases - in September-December 2004 and in September-October 2005 -,
show that the measures included in the second pillar reform are not sufficient
to influence the preferences of workers and to incentive them to invest
the future flows of TFR in pension funds. The choice in favour of TFR - declared
from more than that 80% of workers that have already decided which option
choose - seems to depend crucially on the degree of uncertainty and risk
related to the pension funds investments (versus the TFR in the firms option).
The effects of four
scenarios of the TFR’s and the pension funds’s taxation on income
distribution, public budget and the worker’s choices are analyzed.
Key Words: Retirement,
Retirement Policies, Private Pensions, Taxation
JEL: J26, J32, H29